Flood risk modelling in Europe
Projecting insured losses in the Netherlands and France for varying climate scenarios, using open data
Flooding is a pervasive natural hazard across Europe, stemming not only from persistent precipitation—locally or upstream of rivers—but also from sea and groundwater sources. The flood risk at any given location encapsulates both the probability of a flood event and the potential for property and economic damage. This report presents a comprehensive framework for calculating potential home insurance losses from European flood events based on open data sources, varying by return period and climate change scenarios.
Interactive map exhibits
Netherlands and France – Annualized Maximum Flood Depths over 2024-2060 – RCP scenarios
Utrecht – 1,000 year Return Interval Flood Depths
Paris – 1,000 year Return Interval Flood Depths
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Flood risk modelling in Europe
We present a framework and tools for projecting insured flood losses in the Netherlands and France, which can be used for insurance portfolios across Europe.